中国林产品贸易潜力研究与验证

摘 要

林产品是指来源或依托于森林资源所生产的相关产品，具有极强的自然属性限制。近年来，随着森林资源的不断减少、全球化和环保主义的发展，国际林产品贸易的发展格局受到广泛关注。中国作为主要贸易地区，长期与各国林产品贸易关系密切，贸易额不断增长。

国际贸易的主要目的是实现经济的持续增长，贸易重力模型是测算贸易潜力的最常用方法，两国间的贸易流量与其经济规模成正比, 与两国之间的距离成反比。本文通过增加其他解释变量，利用最小二乘法线性回归，研究并验证中国的林产品贸易潜力。

关键词：林产品贸易；重力模型；中国贸易潜力

Research and Verification of Trade Potential of Forest Products in China

ABSTRACT

Forest products refer to related products produced from or relying on forest resources, which have strong natural attribute restrictions. In recent years, with the continuous reduction of forest resources, globalization and the development of environmentalism, the development pattern of international forest products trade has been widely concerned. As a major trade region, China has a long-term close relationship with other countries in forest products trade, and the trade volume is increasing.